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A time series analysis of wastewater inflow of sewage treatment PLANT IN Mysore, India

Author: 
Ayesha Sulthana, Balasubramanian S., and Latha K. C.
Subject Area: 
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Abstract: 

Stochastic Models have been used to analyze the inflow rate of wastewater to the sewage treatment plant (STP) of Southern Mysore. Based on the daily inflow data of 217 days (November 2011 to June 2012), many possible combinations of the orders ‘p’ and ‘q’ were made with the differencing one (d=1). On the basis of diagnostic check, ARIMA (1, 1, 2) was selected which has a combination of significant R – square value of 0. 899 and a least Normalized Bayesian information Criterion (BIC) value of 1.681. Linear regression model applied to the observed inflow and the predicted values of inflow obtained by the ARIMA model showed positive linear correlation. Forecasted inflow rate was high for 300 days, which infers that the future designs for STP may need modification to accommodate the high inflow and since the series has no seasonal trend, an average inflow may also occur for some days.

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